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This WAS an outlet for my fiction writing and related stuff. You can now find newer stuff (as well all the content currently here) over on my new site www.mapley.net
I have to start by saying that when Tony Blair finally left office I was glad to have seen the back of him, even though at the time of his first election he was a breath of fresh air when compared to the generation of Tory governments that had preceded him.
Unfortunately for him, for whatever reason, he left office under a cloud and had gained a reputation as one of Dubya’s yes men.
Stepping into the void was his long time no.2, Gordon Brown.
Whilst he wasn’t the fresh face some people thought the party needed he did seem as though he would do things differently.
If Brown had called an election within a couple of months then I’m sure he would have been re-elected. He would have got my vote anyway.
At the time David Cameron didn’t seem strong enough to win over the whole country and Brown still had the glow of a decent enough period as Chancellor.
Fast-forward to today and time has given us a taste of what the country would be like with him at the helm. I’m not impressed.
Why had he been so reluctant to put his position in the hands of the people, as it should be? If he had lost an election maybe it wouldn’t have been as bad as he thinks. It would give him time in opposition to put his stamp on the party. He didn’t have any serious leadership contenders so he would have a grace period as people would really have been voting against Tony Blair.
Also the country could have had its chance to see whether the Conservatives really had changed in all their time out of office.
Personally though, I thought he would have survived, although it may have been narrow and the Tories would have made a fight of it, just because some floating voters wanted a change and are disillusioned with the government.
So why did Brown stay on so long? Was he really that insecure about going before the voters? Or had he seen something whilst in his privileged position as Chancellor?
Wild theory time!!
Perhaps Brown knew that the Credit Crunch was coming and rather than leaving it to the fickleness of voters to let him stay in place and dumping the problem in the lap of an inexperienced Tory government, he took the conscientious route to try and solve things and weather any storm about having an election ASAP.
Maybe that was what the 10p tax was really all about. It was an attempt to put more money in people’s pockets in order to keep them spending in a period when other countries might have struggled.
Unfortunately though, he misjudged the reaction to a side effect, which left some people worse off. Had he not foreseen this aspect or was it the lesser of two evils? Pay a little more tax or lose your job?
Had Brown stayed in office with the intention of steering the UK through a global recession, but been hampered in his plans by the petty selfishness of potential voters? Of course, no one really thought things would get as bad as they have so the reaction seemed perfectly justified and the government had to back down. The government also couldn’t come out and express their fears in case it sparked the kind of collapse that we’ve seen since.
No-one likes it when someone says ‘I told you so’ but could it be the government were actually ahead of the game on this?
So, does Brown deserve a little kudos for possibly showing some guts in staying on to tackle a problem like this?
Well, where was his plan B?
Instead of using this period to increase his chances of re-election like I’m sure he was planning on, nothing has actually gone according to plan and he now finds himself caught up in a financial catastrophe with other countries around the world as opposed to being in a position of leadership and guidance to everyone else, which would have guaranteed him the next election.
Ultimately I haven’t got a clue how close to the mark this is or if I’m joining the dots with my limited political knowledge and lots of imagination! I also have no economics degree, so who can tell if the 10p tax would have stalled or quickened the onset of the crunch.
If Brown wants to have any chance of re-election now though, he’s going to have to pull one mightily giant rabbit from a very small hat.